Tracking Ida: Latest Forecast

Sunday, November 8, 2009 - 3:42pm

...IDA MOVING SLOWER...CENTER APPROACHING THE NORTHERN GULF COAST...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM GRAND ISLE LOUISIANA
EASTWARD TO THE AUCILLA RIVER FLORIDA...INCLUDING NEW ORLEANS AND
LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN.

IDA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 13 MPH...20 KM/HR. A TURN
TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS
EXPECTED OVERNIGHT. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF IDA
SHOULD REACH THE NORTHERN GULF COAST TUESDAY MORNING. AFTER
LANDFALL...IDA IS EXPECTED TO TURN EASTWARD.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 65 MPH...100
KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME WEAKENING IS EXPECTED OVERNIGHT AS
IDA MOVES OVER COOLER WATERS PRIOR TO MAKING LANDFALL...AND IS
EXPECTED TO MERGE WITH A FRONTAL ZONE ON WEDNESDAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 200 MILES...325 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY RECONNAISSANCE
AIRCRAFT WAS 997 MB...29.44 INCHES.

IDA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 6
INCHES...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM STORM TOTALS OF 8 INCHES...THROUGH
WEDNESDAY EVENING FROM THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN GULF COAST ACROSS
THE SOUTHEASTERN UNITED STATES INTO THE SOUTHERN MID-ATLANTIC
STATES.